By Shawn P. Conley, Seth Naeve, John Gaska
Our main reason for writing this article stems from growers questioning their 2017 bottom line. This issue was highlighted in the article written by Gary Schnitkey and Darrel Good: 2017 Crop Budgets and Current Prices Say Switch to Soybeans and Expect Low Returns. It is thought that farmers may plant 5 million more acres of soybean in 2017 than they did in 2016 based on current corn:soybean price ratios and input prices. Those acres have to come from somewhere and many of them will be from second-year soybean.
With all of that being said here are some recommendations to consider:
Balancing Short-Term vs. Long-Term Profitability (i.e. economic sustainability). Short-term profitability may drive some farmers to consider planting more soybeans in 2017. Data from our long-term rotation experiment clearly shows the benefit of crop rotation to the soybean crop. It is amazing that after 5 years of corn, it only took 3 years of soybean for the yield to drop to continuous soybean (20+ years) yield levels. Good news is that second-year soybean yielded the same as soybean in a corn-soybean rotation.
We could hypothesize then that the yield of the third year of continuous soybean (in our experiment) would be similar to a second year of soybean in a corn-soybean (C-S-S) rotation. Our data clearly shows that 3 or more years of continuous soybean gives you a 4-plus bushel-per-acre hit when compared to a corn-soy rotation, and moves you close to that of continuous soybean. In short, you are setting your long-term profitability up for a hit. So what do you do? If it were my land I would stick to my rotations on my owned land and consider second year soybeans on the rented ground.
Be aware that soybean after soybean will alter the pest complexes in your fields. Some of these alterations may take years to undo as you will be making a long-term impact on your soil and resulting soil health. Also, don't automatically think that simply adding a cover crop to this S-S rotation will "fix" these issues.
Plant a different variety than was planted in that field last year and make sure it has strong disease resistance traits to the problems you have in that field. Every variety has a weakness and planting the same variety on the same land 2 years in a row will expose that weakness. Note that these varieties must be truly different. The same bean in a different color bag will greatly increase your risk of disease losses. Please see our 2016 Wisconsin Soybean Variety Performance Trials for information.
Test for SCN and select SCN resistant varieties. SCN proliferates in long-term soybean cropping systems.
Be prepared to scout your fields more intensively to get ahead of any disease problems. Increased disease pressure may provide an opportunity to see yield responses from fungicides and insecticides. You may need to include these costs into your original economic decisions.
Keep seeding rates lower if white mold was a problem in the field.
Use a seed treatment at the max a.i. fungicide rate.
Use a pre-emergence herbicide and use multiple modes of action. If you had weed escapes, expect even larger problems in soybean after soybean.
Soil sample and replace potassium (K) if needed. I know growers are going to want to cut back on inputs but 2016 brought us record yields. An 80-bushel soybean crop meant you removed about 98 pounds per acre of phosphate equivalent fertilizer. Growers often routinely rely on carryover fertilizers for soybean when rotated with well-fertilized corn. Soybean after soybean may require additional fertilizer, especially K.